Canadian Energy Markets.
The insights nobody else shows you.

Weekly data-driven analysis of WCS differentials, pipeline capacity, production forecasts, and the metrics that actually move markets. Built for analysts, investors, and industry professionals.

What We Track

We combine public datasets in ways nobody else bothers to β€” surfacing the signals that matter.

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Capacity Gap Forecast

FLAGSHIP

Production growth vs. pipeline egress capacity. Project-level tracking with probability-weighted scenarios.

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WCS Differential

Price spreads correlated with pipeline utilization. Predictive signals from capacity constraints.

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Pipeline Utilization

Real-time throughput vs. capacity across TMX, Enbridge Mainline, Keystone, and TC Energy.

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Re-Export Tracking

Canadian crude re-exported from US Gulf Coast to global markets. The flow nobody else follows.

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Rail Economics

Crude-by-rail breakeven analysis. When rail picks up, it tells you where the market thinks constraints are heading.

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SAGD Break-Even Map

Which projects are underwater at current prices? Investor-grade vulnerability analysis.

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TMX Impact Tracker

Tidewater pricing realization. Quantifying what Pacific access is actually worth per barrel.

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Royalty Revenue

Alberta budget vs. actuals. Be the first to know when the province is trending above or below assumptions.

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Carbon Cost Overlay

TIER compliance + federal carbon price trajectory on real project economics. The true all-in cost.

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About

The Differential was built out of frustration. The data exists β€” buried across government databases, regulatory filings, and trade reports. But nobody was connecting the dots. We combine datasets from the Alberta Energy Regulator, Canada Energy Regulator, US EIA, Census Bureau trade data, and more to surface the insights that actually matter for Canadian energy markets.

Based in Calgary, AB πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦